Bitcoin reaches peak volatility amid political uncertainty
11.03.2025
According to TradingView and Glassnode data, Bitcoin's volatility is reaching cycle highs across multiple indicators. The cryptocurrency's price is experiencing sharp fluctuations amid growing concerns over a trade war and the potential sell-off of U.S. cryptocurrency reserves.
Bitcoin’s realized volatility, which measures daily price swings, has exceeded 80% on one- and two-week timeframes, marking one of the highest levels in the current cycle, according to Glassnode data.
Additionally, the Average True Range (ATR), another key volatility indicator, has risen to 4,900 compared to 3,000 at the end of February, according to TradingView.
The surge in volatility followed political uncertainty after Donald Trump assumed the U.S. presidency in January. This has led to mixed bullish and bearish signals, resulting in significant price swings.
“The intense price spike has created extremely turbulent conditions over the past two weeks amid an uncertain political environment,” Glassnode stated in its March analytical report.
As of March 5, Bitcoin has lost nearly 30% from its all-time high of $109,000, reached in December. Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) have declined by more than 50% from their peak levels, according to Glassnode data.
Analysts expect volatility to remain high in the near future as the crypto market adjusts to new challenges, including the potential sale of U.S. government cryptocurrency reserves.